Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000208 0.000230 0.000254 0.000282 0.000313 0.000347 0.000387
2025-09-28 0.000160 0.000191 0.000228 0.000273 0.000329 0.000396 0.000483
2025-10-05 0.000138 0.000174 0.000219 0.000279 0.000358 0.000460 0.000602
2025-10-12 0.000123 0.000162 0.000212 0.000284 0.000384 0.000520 0.000723
2025-10-19 0.000109 0.000148 0.000202 0.000282 0.000398 0.000565 0.000826
2025-10-26 0.000099 0.000140 0.000197 0.000285 0.000418 0.000619 0.000950
2025-11-02 0.000090 0.000130 0.000188 0.000281 0.000428 0.000657 0.001054
2025-11-09 0.000082 0.000122 0.000182 0.000280 0.000441 0.000702 0.001174
2025-11-16 0.000075 0.000114 0.000174 0.000275 0.000447 0.000735 0.001277
2025-11-23 0.000068 0.000106 0.000165 0.000268 0.000447 0.000758 0.001366
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000103 0.000164 0.000272 0.000468 0.000819 0.001532
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000100 0.000163 0.000278 0.000490 0.000885 0.001720
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000094 0.000156 0.000272 0.000494 0.000919 0.001853
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000087 0.000147 0.000263 0.000489 0.000936 0.001955
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000085 0.000146 0.000268 0.000513 0.001016 0.002210
2026-01-04 0.000047 0.000082 0.000145 0.000273 0.000537 0.001098 0.002483
2026-01-11 0.000044 0.000079 0.000141 0.000270 0.000546 0.001149 0.002695
2026-01-18 0.000042 0.000076 0.000140 0.000273 0.000566 0.001226 0.002984
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000073 0.000135 0.000269 0.000571 0.001272 0.003204
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000070 0.000132 0.000269 0.000583 0.001333 0.003477
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000067 0.000128 0.000264 0.000585 0.001372 0.003696
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000063 0.000122 0.000257 0.000581 0.001394 0.003871
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000062 0.000122 0.000261 0.000604 0.001490 0.004290